How to Use IW Retirement Planner

Retirement planning is an empowering process, regardless of age. The process of planning not only fosters a sense of financial security but also a roadmap for financial well-being.

IW Retirement Planner streamlines retirement planning by bringing together two widely-used methods: straight-line forecasting, which projects future financial needs, and industry-standard Monte Carlo stress testing, which evaluates risk by simulating different market conditions. This approach combines the strengths of both techniques, offering a powerful, free tool that helps you feel confident in your plan and the decisions you make.
step 1Gather Your Finances and Expenses
Before you begin, you need to gather your financial information. This includes your current savings and investments.

You will also need to factor in an estimate of your expenses during retirement. You can use IW Retirement Planner's built-in Retirement Expenses Estimator tool or create a detailed estimate using Vanguard's Retirement Expenses Worksheet. Alternatively, you can estimate your retirement expenses with Morningstar's 7-step method or Fidelity's rule of thumb method. Retirement Income Replacement Rate Rule of thumb to roughly estimate your retirement income needs
step 2Run a Straight-Line Forecast
Straight-line forecasting assumes consistent year-to-year investment growth, from the beginning to the end of retirement. This forecasting approach helps determine the funds needed to sustain a comfortable retirement lifestyle and evaluate the necessary contributions to achieve your desired goals.

Please review the following sections to gain an understanding of how best to use IW Retirement Planner when creating your retirement plan.

Spending Strategies
IW Retirement Planner supports both fixed and flexible spending options. The right choice between these approaches depends on your financial circumstances, risk tolerance, and personal preference. Each strategy has its pros and cons, so it's important to select the one that aligns best with your needs and goals. Spending Strategies Choose your Spending Strategy

  • Fixed spending withdraws a set, inflation adjusted, amount each year, offering a predictable and stable income that simplifies budgeting for essentials. While this approach provides simplicity, it may not account for lifestyle changes or needs at various stages of retirement. Use one of the methods from Step 1 to estimate the income you will need to maintain a comfortable retirement.

    IW Retirement Planner applies a 1% annual reduction to Fixed spending expenses, based on research from The Center for Retirement Research. You can modify this reduction amount under Assumptions.

    Difficulty in Practice: Low
  • Smile spending is an age-based approach to retirement spending, grounded in research showing that retirees often spend more in the early and late stages of retirement and less during the middle years. This method helps align spending with the evolving lifestyle and needs of a typical retiree. Use one of the methods outlined in Step 1 to estimate your initial expenses.

    Difficulty in Practice: Medium
  • Dynamic spending provides the most flexibility by adjusting spending levels based on market performance and portfolio health. It is best suited for retirees who are willing to reduce expenses during lean market years in exchange for the ability to spend more initially and during favorable market years. This approach also helps mitigate the risk of outliving assets by adapting spending in response to changing economic conditions.

    Dynamic spending starts with a withdrawal of 5% of your total investment portfolio. Each subsequent year adjusts the prior year's spending for inflation and then applies 'guardrails' of 4% and 6%. If the withdrawal amount falls below 4% of the total investment portfolio, it is increased to 4%. Conversely, if the withdrawal amount exceeds 6% of the portfolio, it is capped at 6%.

    Difficulty in Practice: Medium

All spending strategies are indexed to inflation. See FAQ for additional information.
Extra Savings
Income bucket funds are automatically increased during the pre-retirement years based on the growth rate assigned to each bucket. You can supplement these savings by selecting the Extra Savings button to add additional pre-retirement contributions. Enter the after-tax amount you plan to set aside.

Extra Expenses
In addition to your regular monthly expenses, you may have other one-time or recurring needs, such as paying off debt, taking a family vacation, or contributing to a child’s education or wedding. To include these, click the Extra Expenses button and enter any additional post-retirement expenses into your plan.

Other Income
Beyond your income buckets, you can include one-time or recurring income events such as an inheritance, lump-sum pension distributions, or royalties. To add these, click the Other Income button and enter both pre- and post-retirement income amounts. The values should reflect after-tax amounts and are not adjusted for inflation.

Employment
Part-time employment can be added to your plan to supplement retirement income or assess the feasibility of retiring earlier. You can also include full-time employment to reflect continued spousal work.  If there is a gap between your retirement date and your spouse's, be sure to account for any employment during that period. For example, if you plan to retire in 2040 and your spouse in 2045, make sure to include your spouse's employment from 2040 to 2045.
Healthcare and Long-Term Care Expenses
Healthcare expenses are likely to be among your most significant costs in retirement. Estimating these expenses is typically divided into two phases: pre-Medicare (before age 65) and Medicare (age 65 and beyond), as each involves different planning considerations.

Click the Healthcare button to include healthcare expenses into your planning. All healthcare costs are adjusted annually based on the Healthcare Inflation rate specified in Assumptions.

Social Security Maximizer
The Social Security Maximizer feature simplifies decision-making by determining your optimal Social Security filing strategy. It evaluates more than 700 filing strategies to identify the one that maximizes lifetime benefits within your retirement plan.

Social Security Maximizer Quickly find the Social Security filing strategy that maximizes lifetime benefits

This powerful tool takes into account retirement, spousal, and survivor benefits, and incorporates key benefits rules including early benefit reductions, delayed retirement credits, earnings test adjustments, RIB LIM, and restricted application and deeming rules.

Simply activate the Social Security Maximizer switch and run an analysis of your Social Security filing options. The results of the analysis can be reviewed through interactive charts, along with an estimate of the additional benefits you may be eligible for. The optimized strategy can then be applied directly to your retirement plan.
Tax Optimization
IW Retirement Planner provides three different ways to experiment with the most effective way to lower taxes for your situation. Explore the Withdrawal Strategy, Roth Conversion, or Tax Minimizer features to test your plan and potentially save thousands in taxes. Tax Optimization Strategies Choose from three tax optimization strategies

  • Withdrawal Strategy allows you to choose which bucket to withdraw income from first, Taxable or Tax-Deferred Investments. For example, selecting Tax-Deferred Investments may be beneficial if 401(k)s and Traditional IRAs make up a large portion of your savings, as this can help reduce the tax impact of Required Minimum Distributions later in retirement.
  • Roth Conversion allows you to convert Tax-Deferred Investment funds into Tax-Free Investments, up to a chosen federal income tax bracket. The ideal times to consider Roth conversions are usually during lower tax years, typically after retirement, but before starting Social Security or Required Minimum Distributions (RMDs). Converted funds are taxed as ordinary income but offer tax-free growth, help reduce the long-term tax impact of Required Minimum Distributions, and provide tax-free income later in retirement.
  • Tax Minimizer attempts to lower taxes to a specified federal income tax bracket by replacing Tax-Deferred Investment withdrawals, which are taxed as ordinary income, with Tax-Free Investments, or Taxable Investments which are taxed as long-term capital gains. The goal is to replace just enough ordinary income to remain within the chosen bracket and avoid pushing income into higher tax tiers. This feature is typically most effective for those who are not at risk of large RMDs later in retirement.
Reviewing Plan Outcomes
IW Retirement Planner makes it easy to visualize your straight-line forecasting outcomes. Over a dozen charts and dashboard summaries provide valuable insights into your retirement plan, helping you avoid potential pitfalls and maximize built-in tax optimization features.

For example, the Federal and Capital Gains tax charts help identify when tax optimization strategies can reduce your tax liabilities, while the Medicare Surcharges chart highlights years with potential IRMAA surcharges. Additionally, the Cash Flow chart tracks how your income aligns with your expenses over time, highlighting years with potential cash flow surpluses or shortfalls, allowing for proactive adjustments.

For a deeper understanding of your plan, you can explore detailed actions taken by the IW Retirement Planner modeling engine, year by year, throughout your retirement plan.
Explore Straight-Line Forecasting Examples
Single tax filer with extra savings and other incomeSingle Tax Filer Example
Married couple with employment, extra savings, extra expenses, and healthcareMarried Couple Example
Married couple with Roth conversions, healthcare, and long-term careRoth Conversion Example
Married couple with Social Security MaximizerSocial Security Maximizer Example
step 3Run an AI-Enabled Stress Test
Straight-line projections assume a steady average return, like 6% annually, without accounting for the market’s natural ups and downs. In reality, returns vary annually, and the sequence of those returns, especially early in retirement, can significantly affect how long a portfolio lasts.

IW Retirement Planner addresses this risk through advanced stress testing, powered by Monte Carlo simulations and AI trained on over 55 years of historical market data. Each stress test generates a 1,000 unique retirement scenarios that reflect more realistic market volatility, incorporating fluctuations in investment returns, inflation, and other risks, including severe market downturns. The result is a more rigorous evaluation of whether your plan can adapt to uncertainty while still supporting your retirement income goals.

To perform a Monte Carlo stress test, simply activate the AI-Enabled Stress Test switch and run a simulation to evaluate the risk level of your straight-line plan. Results can be reviewed through interactive charts and a summary that includes your plan's Probability of Success score, representing the percentage of scenarios where your funds lasted throughout your full retirement. Interpreting Your Stress Test Score Monte Carlo stress test Probability of Success score

Interpreting Your Stress Test Score
Your financial goals and retirement lifestyle preferences play an important role in understanding your Probability of Success score. For those with modest retirement goals and flexibility in their spending, an 85% success rate can suggest a reasonably sound retirement plan. However, if you have ambitious goals or wish to maintain a higher standard of living in retirement, aiming for 90% or above provides a larger financial cushion and greater peace of mind.

Additional reading:  
Goldilocks and the "Just Right" Probability of Retirement-Planning Success
Explore Monte Carlo Stress Testing
Married couple with Smile spending strategyMarried Couple Example
step 4Adjust Your Financial Plan
Based on your retirement planning results, you may need to adjust your financial plan. For example, if the analysis indicates a risk of running out of money during retirement, you might consider increasing savings, reducing expenses, or refining your investment strategy.

Similarly, if the analysis shows you’re likely to have more than enough funds, you may have the option to retire earlier, leave a larger inheritance, or expand your retirement goals to include more travel and activities.
step 5Track Your Progress
It is essential to regularly review and adjust your retirement plan based on changes in your financial situation, market conditions, and life circumstances.

You can save your retirement plan at any time by clicking the Save Session button. This generates a unique link to your plan, which you can bookmark for easy access. Use this bookmark to revisit, update, and monitor your plan from any device, anytime.  Be sure to save and update your bookmark each time you make changes to your plan.

Monitor Different Scenarios
The Save Session feature also allows you to save and track multiple planning scenarios. This includes conservative or optimistic investment growth assumptions, as well as unexpected major events, helping you understand their impact on your retirement goals.
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